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Table 4 External factors

From: Sulphur emission control areas and transport strategies -the case of Sweden and the forest industry

Factor

Relevance

Determinants

Price of crude oil

Affects price of fuel and heavily affects cost for shipping and road transport

E.g. politics, regional conflicts, economic situation

Price increased to specific fuels

The price of LSFO is sensitive to supply shortages

Demand and refineries’ production capacity

Currencies

Cost of fuel. Forest industry profitability and ability to absorb increased transport prices.

Economic situation and politics.

Supply and demand of alternative solutions (LNG, methanol, scrubbers)

Availability of alternatives and associated costs.

Motives, incentives, and subsidies for investments and innovation

Port infrastructure and other technology

Availability of alternatives and associated costs.

Motives, incentives, and subsidies for investments and innovation

Capacity of rail, road, and terminals.

Opportunity for modal shift and costs of alternative modes of transport.

Infrastructure investments, internalisation of external costs.