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Table 2 Rail freight demand in tonnes for the EU27)

From: Assessing the impact of the 2011 EU Transport White Paper - a rail freight demand forecast up to 2050 for the EU27

Rail Freight Demand (in Million Tonnes)

2010

2020

2030

2050

pa growth

 Reference Scenario

1,040

1,260

1,590

1,902

1.52 %

 White Paper Low Scenario

1,040

1,260

1,679

2,067

1.73 %

 White Paper High Scenario

1,040

1,260

2,307

3,224

2.87 %

Modal Shift shift from Road to Rail (in %)

2010

2020

2030

2050

pa growth

 Shift from road to Low Scenario

  

0.46 %

0.77 %

 

 Shift from road to High Scenario

  

3.22 %

5.37 %

 

Rail Demand per scenario (in btonne-km)

2010

2020

2030

2050

pa growth

 Reference

316

365

439

521

1.26 %

 White Paper Low

316

365

488

611

1.66 %

 White Paper High

316

365

699

1000

2.92 %

Shift from road to rail percentage

2010

2020

2030

2050

 

 Shift from road to Low Scenario

  

1.13 %

1.18 %

 

 Shift from road to High Scenario

  

4.86 %

8.10 %

 
  1. Source: TRANS-TOOLS modelling output)