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Table 2 Comparison of actual transport developments and former scenario forecasts
From: Transport policy planning in Germany - An analysis of political programs and investment masterplans
Average growth rates (1997–2014/2015) | Change in modal split (%-points) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2015 INT | 2015 BAU | Actual | 2015 INT | 2015 BAU | |
Passenger | ||||||
- Road | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | −1.4 | −6.8 | −0.4 |
- Rail | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 3.9 | −0.3 |
- Other public | 0.3 | 0.2 | −0.5 | −0.7 | 0.0 | −2.2 |
- Air | 2.9 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
Total | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.1 | |||
Freight | ||||||
- Road | 2.6 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 4.1 | −2.1 | 5.9 |
- Rail | 2.5 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 4.7 | −3.3 |
- Water | −0.3 | 1.8 | 1.9 | −4.9 | −2.6 | −2.5 |
Total | 2.2 | 2.8 | 2.8 | |||