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Table 3 Comparison of visions and scenarios per key element

From: Developing disruptive mobility scenarios for rural areas. Participatory mobility scenario building in a Belgian village for the year 2050

Key elements Vision Scenario 1
No more private cars
Scenario 2
Delayed implementation of bike lanes
Scenario 3
Unreliable energy grid
Scenario 4
Mandatory teleworking
Mode of transport Mainly bicycles for internal trips
Mainly private (flying, emission free) cars and buses for external trips
Mainly bicycles for internal trips
Public transport for external trips
Autonomous shared cars for external trips
Cars are the main mode of transport
There are no cyclists or pedestrians
No use of public transport
More shared mobility (carpooling)
No electric cars
Fewer cars
Bicycles are used for everything
Fewer cars
Mainly bicycles or walking for internal trips
Trip frequency Increase in no. of trips Decrease in no. of trips Increase in no. of trips Decrease in no. of trips No decrease in no. of trips, but shift in type of trips
Trips more evenly distributed during the day
Shopping habits More local businesses
More e-commerce
More e-commerce N/A Local food production; more self-sufficiency More local shops
More e-commerce
Deliveries Centralized pick-up points Home deliveries of goods N/A No deliveries because no e-commerce Home deliveries of goods
Village surroundings Car-free zones and restricted heavy truck access
More playground
More social activities
N/A Increased commuter traffic around the village
Fewer citizens
Fewer visitors coming from outside Increased social activities; more of a ‘village’ feeling