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Table 1 Oetingen 2050 BAU projection

From: Developing disruptive mobility scenarios for rural areas. Participatory mobility scenario building in a Belgian village for the year 2050

Trend category Trend description Source
Social and economic Population ages: 27% of inhabitants will be aged 67 + in 2050. (Level of availability: regional—Flanders) [34]
Economic development focuses on digitalisation and technological developments, and innovation will lead to autonomous, connected, multimodal, green, and shared mobility. (Level of availability: regional—Flanders) [35]
Proximity to businesses and services is key, also in the countryside. Villages in Gooik will therefore increase in number of inhabitants by 2050. (Level of availability: regional – Flanders; and municipal—Gooik) [35]
Mobility and transport Safety on roads increases: 133 deaths/year by 2050 (but not 0). For comparison: in 2020, 254 people died on Flemish roads [25]. (Level of availability: regional—Flanders) [36]
Cycling increases strongly, with improved infrastructure (like better connectivity between town centres). (Level of availability: municipal—Gooik) [37]
Decrease in level of public transport service, so private vehicles remain dominant. Public transport is only necessary for ‘core corridors’ between major economic centres; other mobility solutions will be personalised and on-demand. (Level of availability: regional—Flanders) [36]
Climate change and decarbonization The region will be carbon neutral by 2040, thanks to decreased energy demand and increased electrification. The EU will be climate neutral by 2050. (Level of availability: provincial—Pajottenland and supranational- EU) [38]
[39]