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Table 3 Compilation of trends

From: Integrating future trends and uncertainties in urban mobility design via data-driven personas and scenarios

Trends

Description

Values

Area

Growth rate (%)

Annual population growth

The population is assumed to continue to grow. The central (incl. migration) scenario [53] is considered for Paris and its environments (equalling petite-couronne and MGP). The IDF data [56] is adapted by overall population to IDF without Paris and MGP

Paris

0.4

 

MGP

0.6

 

IDF/CPS

0.13

  

Age group

Female

Male

Ageing

The demographic ageing process leads to an increase in the age group of 60+. Different values are calculated based on statistical assumptions from INSEE [53]

0–14

0.00

0.02

 

15–29

−0.07

−0.08

 

30–44

0.00

−0.14

 

45–59

−0.03

−0.02

 

60+

1.65

2.50