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Table 7 Trends and uncertainties quantified and adapted by authors for each scenario

From: Integrating future trends and uncertainties in urban mobility design via data-driven personas and scenarios

Scenarios

U1: Car ownership

U2: Proximity of work/study locations

U3: Household sizes

S1

Increase (+ 5%)

Stable (± 0%)

Stable (± 0%)

S2

Decrease (−5%)

More local (± 1.5%/3%)

Decrease (−5%)

S3

Decrease (−5%)

More local (± 2%/4%)

Increase (+ 10%)

S4

Stable (± 0%)

Less local (−/ + 1.5%/3%)

Strong decrease (-10%)